PITCHER MATCHUP

Slade Cecconi vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Slade Cecconi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Slade Cecconi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 15%Sinker 15%Cutter 13%Slider 12%Changeup 5%Sweeper 3%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Slade Cecconi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB JJ Bleday LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →