PITCHER MATCHUP

Slade Cecconi vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Slade Cecconi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Slade Cecconi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 15%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 12%Changeup 5%Sweeper 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Slade Cecconi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 639 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.