PITCHER MATCHUP
Slade Cecconi vs Seattle Mariners
How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Slade Cecconi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Slade Cecconi's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 15%Sinker 14%Cutter 14%Slider 12%Changeup 5%Sweeper 3%
How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Slade Cecconi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 CY Cole Young LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 590 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .364
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 VR Victor Robles RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.