PITCHER MATCHUP

Slade Cecconi vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Slade Cecconi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Slade Cecconi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 15%Sinker 15%Cutter 13%Slider 12%Changeup 5%Sweeper 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Slade Cecconi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .409
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.