PITCHER MATCHUP

Slade Cecconi vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Slade Cecconi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Slade Cecconi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 15%Sinker 14%Cutter 14%Slider 12%Changeup 5%Sweeper 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Slade Cecconi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .404
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.