PITCHER MATCHUP

Slade Cecconi vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Slade Cecconi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Slade Cecconi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Curveball 15%Sinker 13%Cutter 12%Slider 12%Changeup 6%Sweeper 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Slade Cecconi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .405
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CS Cam Smith RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jake Meyers RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Meyers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →