PITCHER MATCHUP

Shohei Ohtani vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shohei Ohtani's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shohei Ohtani's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .266vs RHH xwOBA .243Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sweeper 27%Curveball 10%Splitter 8%Sinker 7%Slider 4%Cutter 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shohei Ohtani, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 TT Tommy Troy RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Troy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-10 game page →