PITCHER MATCHUP

Shohei Ohtani vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shohei Ohtani's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shohei Ohtani's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .266vs RHH xwOBA .243Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sweeper 27%Curveball 10%Splitter 8%Sinker 7%Slider 4%Cutter 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shohei Ohtani, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TT Tim Tawa RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.