PITCHER MATCHUP

Shohei Ohtani vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shohei Ohtani's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shohei Ohtani's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .266vs RHH xwOBA .243Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sweeper 27%Curveball 10%Splitter 8%Sinker 7%Slider 4%Cutter 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shohei Ohtani, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.