PITCHER MATCHUP
Shane McClanahan vs Boston Red Sox
How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane McClanahan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shane McClanahan's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 28%Slider 18%Curveball 15%
How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane McClanahan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 619 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CW Connor Wong RHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TS Trevor Story RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.