PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane McClanahan vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane McClanahan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane McClanahan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 28%Slider 18%Curveball 14%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane McClanahan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →