PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane McClanahan vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane McClanahan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane McClanahan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 28%Slider 18%Curveball 15%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane McClanahan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.