PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .388Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 14%Cutter 13%Sinker 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-14 game page →