PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .372Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 13%Cutter 13%Sinker 2%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.