PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .372Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 13%Cutter 13%Sinker 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.