PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .418Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Knuckle Curve 18%Slider 16%Changeup 16%Cutter 14%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →