PITCHER MATCHUP
Shane Bieber vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shane Bieber's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .372Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 13%Cutter 13%Sinker 2%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 EC Evan Carter LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CS Corey Seager LHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JF Justin Foscue RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Foscue
- Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.