PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .405Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 18%Cutter 13%Changeup 13%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JJ Josh Jung RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Burger RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JP Joc Pederson LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.