PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .372Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 13%Cutter 13%Sinker 2%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CS Corey Seager LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF Justin Foscue RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Foscue
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ED Elias Díaz RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elias Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.