PITCHER MATCHUP
Shane Bieber vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shane Bieber's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .388Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 14%Cutter 13%Sinker 1%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .306
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 608 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 EC Evan Carter LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CS Corey Seager LHB .351
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 ED Elias Díaz RHB .278
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elias Díaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.