PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .372Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 13%Cutter 13%Sinker 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .472 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.