PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .398Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 15%Cutter 13%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-28 game page →