PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Bieber vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Bieber's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Bieber's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .372Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 17%Slider 13%Cutter 13%Sinker 2%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Bieber, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.