PITCHER MATCHUP

Seth Lugo vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Seth Lugo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Seth Lugo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .358vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 16%Cutter 14%Changeup 9%Slider 8%Sweeper 7%SV 6%CS 3%Splitter 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Seth Lugo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  3. 3 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  6. 6 JH Jonah Heim SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • CS (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.