PITCHER MATCHUP

Seth Johnson vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Seth Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Seth Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Sinker 7%Curveball 6%Splitter 3%Sweeper 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Seth Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .394
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.