PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Sweeper 21%Cutter 14%Changeup 12%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JD Jarren Duran LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →