PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sweeper 18%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.