PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sweeper 18%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 6%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.