PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sweeper 18%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 6%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.