PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Sweeper 20%Cutter 14%Changeup 13%Sinker 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 OC Owen Caissie LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GP Graham Pauley LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Graham Pauley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →