PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Sweeper 19%Changeup 16%Cutter 13%Sinker 4%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EH Eric Haase RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eric Haase
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →