PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sweeper 18%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 6%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.