PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Sullivan vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Sullivan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Sullivan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sweeper 18%Changeup 16%Cutter 15%Sinker 6%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Sullivan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.