PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 21%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →