PITCHER MATCHUP
Sean Burke vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sean Burke's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.