PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Changeup 4%Cutter 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Ben Malgeri SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Malgeri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →