PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 21%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KK Kyle Karros RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Cole Carrigg SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Connor Norby RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.