PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Changeup 5%Cutter 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →