PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 21%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 619 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.