PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.