PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 21%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 641 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.