PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Changeup 5%Cutter 3%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AS Anthony Seigler SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Seigler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →