PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 21%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-08 game page →