PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 9%Changeup 5%Cutter 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →