PITCHER MATCHUP
Sean Burke vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sean Burke's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Changeup 4%Cutter 4%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.