PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.