PITCHER MATCHUP
Sean Burke vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sean Burke's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 21%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .327
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 620 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Max Muncy LHB .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TE Tommy Edman SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.