PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.