PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Changeup 5%Cutter 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →