PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 21%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Cutter 5%Changeup 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .391
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.