PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 20%Sinker 10%Changeup 5%Cutter 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .392
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-25 game page →