PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Burke vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Burke's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Burke's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 22%Slider 19%Sinker 10%Cutter 6%Changeup 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Burke, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .390
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.