PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Slider 15%Cutter 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.