PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Slider 14%Cutter 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-24 game page →