PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.