PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 25%Changeup 23%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Slider 17%Cutter 13%Sweeper 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jared Triolo RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.