PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 703 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .446 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.