PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.