PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →