PITCHER MATCHUP
Sandy Alcantara vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sandy Alcantara's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .329
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .385
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .457 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.