PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Slider 15%Cutter 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-02 game page →