PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .388
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .463 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.