PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 671 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-26 game page →