PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 14%Slider 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .394
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.