PITCHER MATCHUP

Sandy Alcantara vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sandy Alcantara's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sandy Alcantara's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 26%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Slider 15%Cutter 14%Sweeper 5%Curveball 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sandy Alcantara, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .399
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-22 game page →