PITCHER MATCHUP

Sam Aldegheri vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sam Aldegheri's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 5%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.