PITCHER MATCHUP

Sam Aldegheri vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sam Aldegheri's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .262
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.