PITCHER MATCHUP

Sam Aldegheri vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sam Aldegheri's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 5%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.