PITCHER MATCHUP

Sam Aldegheri vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sam Aldegheri's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 5%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.