PITCHER MATCHUP

Sam Aldegheri vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sam Aldegheri's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .381vs RHH xwOBA .336Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 28%Slider 11%Curveball 9%Cutter 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →