PITCHER MATCHUP
Sam Aldegheri vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sam Aldegheri's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 5%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 635 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.