PITCHER MATCHUP
Sam Aldegheri vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sam Aldegheri's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 5%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 KM Ketel Marte SH .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TT Tim Tawa RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.