PITCHER MATCHUP
Sam Aldegheri vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sam Aldegheri's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Changeup 28%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 5%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.