PITCHER MATCHUP

Sam Aldegheri vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sam Aldegheri's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sam Aldegheri's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .389vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Changeup 28%Slider 12%Curveball 9%Cutter 5%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sam Aldegheri, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-17 game page →