PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryne Nelson vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryne Nelson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryne Nelson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 59%Slider 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 10%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryne Nelson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JA Jo Adell RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MT Mike Trout RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Jorge Soler RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Soler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JL Josh Lowe LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WM Wade Meckler LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.