PITCHER MATCHUP
Ryne Nelson vs Los Angeles Angels
How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryne Nelson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ryne Nelson's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 59%Slider 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 10%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%
How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryne Nelson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 MT Mike Trout RHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JL Josh Lowe LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JS Jose Siri RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
- Four-Seam Fastball (59% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.