PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryne Nelson vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryne Nelson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryne Nelson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 60%Slider 15%Cutter 11%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Sinker 1%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryne Nelson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JL Josh Lowe LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WM Wade Meckler LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.