PITCHER MATCHUP
Ryan Weathers vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ryan Weathers's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 26%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.