PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 25%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RL Royce Lewis RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.