PITCHER MATCHUP
Ryan Weathers vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ryan Weathers's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 26%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .305
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 VC Victor Caratini SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AM Austin Martin RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.