PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 25%Sweeper 20%Sinker 15%Slider 7%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →