PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 26%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.