PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 25%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.