PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 26%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.