PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 25%Sweeper 20%Sinker 15%Slider 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →