PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 26%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 639 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.