PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Changeup 25%Sweeper 21%Sinker 15%Slider 9%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →