PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Changeup 25%Sweeper 21%Sinker 15%Slider 8%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →