PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 26%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.