PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 24%Sweeper 20%Sinker 15%Slider 7%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.