PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Weathers vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Weathers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Weathers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Changeup 26%Sweeper 20%Sinker 17%Slider 9%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Weathers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.