PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 36%Sinker 22%Splitter 20%Sweeper 20%Slider 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Cutter (36% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.