PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.