PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 34%Sinker 26%Splitter 20%Sweeper 18%Slider 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 KC Kody Clemens SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RL Royce Lewis RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TG Tristan Gray LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Gray
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-11 game page →