PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 37%Sinker 21%Splitter 20%Sweeper 20%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.