PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 33%Sinker 27%Splitter 21%Sweeper 17%Slider 1%Four-Seam Fastball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →