PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.